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Douglas Kimathi,Jadetimes Staff

D. Kimathi is a Jadetimes news reporter covering political and business updates

 
Zelensky Set to Sign SHOCKING
Image Source: Tetiana Dzhafarova and Alex Wroblewski / AFP

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is set to sign a groundbreaking agreement in Washington this Friday, a move that could significantly alter Ukraine’s geopolitical and economic trajectory. While details of the deal remain closely guarded, early reports suggest it involves a robust military aid package, economic support, and possibly deeper intelligence-sharing agreements. As Ukraine continues to resist Russian aggression, this agreement could mark a turning point in its fight for sovereignty and stability.

The U.S. Commitment to Ukraine Strengthens

Despite previous tensions between Zelensky and the Biden administration, this deal signals renewed American commitment to Ukraine. Since the beginning of Russia’s full-scale invasion, U.S. support has been instrumental in keeping Ukraine’s defense strong. However, growing domestic political debates about military assistance have cast some doubt on long-term U.S. aid. This agreement may serve to reassure both Ukrainians and NATO allies that Washington remains steadfast in its support, though political opposition from some lawmakers remains a concern.

What’s at Stake for Kyiv?

For Ukraine, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Economic devastation, ongoing infrastructure destruction, and a prolonged military conflict have strained the country to its limits. A deal of this magnitude could provide much-needed economic relief and military capabilities, but it may also come with conditions. U.S. officials have previously emphasized anti-corruption measures, political reforms, and transparency in how aid is utilized. If such terms are included, Zelensky’s administration will face pressure to implement stringent accountability measures to maintain continued U.S. backing.

Political Reactions and Controversy

As expected, the announcement of the deal has sparked mixed reactions both in Ukraine and internationally. While many view it as a positive step towards securing Ukraine’s future, others express concerns about potential strings attached. Some European leaders have quietly questioned whether the deal undermines broader EU efforts to provide unified support for Ukraine. Meanwhile, in Washington, some lawmakers argue that continued aid could drag the U.S. into prolonged foreign entanglements, adding to political tensions ahead of the next election cycle.

Russia’s Response: Escalation or Retaliation?

Moscow has already condemned the agreement, calling it another example of Western interference in the region. Russian officials warn that continued U.S. military aid to Ukraine could provoke further escalations, with some speculating that Russia might intensify attacks in response. This raises concerns about the possibility of direct confrontations between Russia and NATO forces, a scenario that global leaders are keen to avoid. The Kremlin’s reaction in the coming days will be crucial in determining whether this deal leads to greater stability or fuels further hostilities.

What Comes Next?

With the signing expected this Friday, all eyes are on Washington and Kyiv. The deal could redefine Ukraine’s wartime strategy and post-war recovery efforts. However, its success will depend on how effectively Ukraine utilizes the resources provided and whether political divisions in both the U.S. and Europe can be managed. As the world watches, Zelensky’s visit to the U.S. could prove to be one of the most consequential diplomatic moves of his presidency.


Douglas Kimathi,Jadetimes Staff

D. Kimathi is a Jadetimes news reporter covering political and business updates

 
Anti-Trump Fury IGNITES Massive
Image Source: Evan Buhler/Reuters

Canada’s Liberals Party is experiencing a dramatic surge in support as public backlash against President Donald Trump’s policies spills over into Canadian politics. Recent polls indicate that growing concerns over Trump’s influence on global affairs, particularly his stance on trade, immigration, and climate policies, have reinvigorated support for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government. The opposition Conservative Party, which has maintained a closer ideological alignment with Trump’s policies, appears to be struggling to capitalize on voter sentiment as Canadians seek leadership that contrasts with Trumpism.

Public Opinion Shifts Amid U.S. Political Turmoil

The shift in public opinion comes in response to Trump’s controversial return to the presidency in 2025, which has reignited debates on international relations and democratic stability. Canadian voters, wary of Trump’s isolationist approach and aggressive economic strategies, are turning toward the Liberals, viewing them as a stabilizing force against what many perceive as unpredictable U.S. leadership. Political analysts suggest that Trudeau’s firm stance on progressive policies, such as climate action and social justice, has resonated with an electorate increasingly concerned about the ripple effects of U.S. politics.

Conservatives Struggle to Distance Themselves

The Conservative Party, traditionally seen as the primary challenger to the Liberals, finds itself caught between appealing to its base and distancing itself from Trump’s polarizing politics. Recent missteps by Conservative leaders attempting to balance pro-business policies with moderate social positions have left voters uncertain about their commitment to maintaining Canada’s distinct political identity. Internal party divisions over how to address Trump’s influence have further hindered their ability to mount a strong challenge against the Liberals.

Key Issues Driving Liberal Support

Several key issues appear to be driving the Liberal Party’s resurgence, including healthcare, environmental policies, and Canada’s diplomatic approach to global conflicts. With Trump’s administration shifting away from multilateral agreements, Canadians have shown increased support for leaders advocating for international cooperation. Trudeau’s continued commitment to climate change initiatives and his diplomatic pushback against Trump’s protectionist trade measures have solidified his party’s standing among progressive voters.

Polls Indicate Potential Election Upset

Recent polls suggest that if an election were held today, the Liberal Party would secure a significant victory, possibly expanding its parliamentary majority. Analysts predict that urban voters, particularly in major cities like Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal, are driving the momentum, with young voters and minority communities expressing stronger support for the Liberals. Meanwhile, the Conservative Party’s base appears to be eroding, with some right-leaning voters defecting to smaller parties that offer alternatives to both mainstream parties.

A Defining Moment for Canadian Politics

As Canada approaches its next election cycle, the growing divide between pro- and anti-Trump sentiment continues to shape the nation’s political landscape. The Liberal Party’s ability to maintain this momentum will depend on how effectively it navigates economic challenges and voter concerns about governance. With anti-Trump energy fueling their rise, Trudeau and his party have a strategic opportunity to redefine Canada’s political direction and reinforce its role as a progressive leader on the global stage.


Chethana Janith, Jadetimes Staff

C. Janith is a Jadetimes news reporter and sub-editor covering science and geopolitics.

 

NASA this week revised the estimated probability of an impact to just 0.28%, down from 3.1%. The astronomer who invented the scale used to measure such risks explains the dizzying shifts.

Image Source: (YR4/ATLAS/Discovery images)
Image Source: (YR4/ATLAS/Discovery images)

An asteroid between 130 and 300 feet wide has a slight chance of hitting Earth in 2032 - but the precise odds have been a moving target since the space rock was first detected nearly two months ago.


NASA’s latest estimate for the asteroid, known as 2024 YR4, is that it has just a 0.28% probability of striking Earth - about a 1 in 360 chance. However, the agency had put the probability at 1.5% on Wednesday, and the day before that, NASA estimated the chances of a collision to be a record high of 3.1%, or 1 in 32.


These prior odds made the space rock the first object officially classified as a Level 3 out of 10 on the Torino scale, which astronomer Richard Binzel first proposed nearly three decades ago.


A Level 3 classification means the object merits attention by astronomers and poses a threat of a “close encounter.”


Named after the Italian city where astronomers officially adopted it in 1999, the Torino Impact Hazard Scale is a way to communicate to the public the risks that near-Earth asteroids and other cosmic objects may pose to the planet.


The scale is color-coded, with categories ranging from 0 (white for no hazard) to 10 (red for certain collisions). When 2024 YR4 was thought to have a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth, it placed it in the scale’s intermediate yellow zone.


The flurry of news coverage about the asteroid has brought the Torino scale more attention than ever before. Binzel said this type of situation is precisely why he created the system in the first place.


“The idea was to be as transparent as possible about what astronomers know,” said Binzel, a professor of planetary sciences at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. “But it’s a bit like being between a rock and a hard place because we want to report what we know to maintain public trust, but we also don’t want to raise any unnecessary anxiety.”


The challenges of walking that fine line have been apparent with asteroid 2024 YR4.


NASA said the reason the impact probability fell this week is that ground-based telescopes were able to get a better look at the space rock overnight on Feb. 19 and 20. Based on those observations, astronomers have been able to refine models of the asteroid’s orbit, allowing them to more accurately estimate the space rock’s trajectory. This, in turn, helps scientists predict with more certainty where 2024 YR4 will be on Dec. 22, 2032, the date when the asteroid will likely have its close encounter with Earth.


Although the shifting probabilities have been somewhat dizzying, it’s perfectly normal for a near-Earth asteroid’s chances of impact to fluctuate like this, according to Binzel.


“If you think of it like a baseball game, the amount of information we have to track this asteroid is like trying to figure out where a fly ball will land at the crack of the bat,” he said.


In other words, it will take more time to observe and measure the asteroid’s size and path before figuring out if it’s still a threat at all.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 is thought to measure up to 300 feet across. Image Source: ATLAS
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is thought to measure up to 300 feet across. Image Source: ATLAS

When Binzel debuted the Torino scale to the astronomical community decades ago, his goal was to foster greater public awareness of impact risks. The idea was to implement something similar to the Richter scale, which measures an earthquake’s magnitude, or the Saffir-Simpson scale, which assigns categories to a hurricane based on its wind speeds.


However, when he first presented the system at a United Nations conference in 1997, it was not well received. Some astronomers, according to Binzel, were skeptical that it would be useful for the public.


That same year, though, scientists discovered an asteroid dubbed 1997 XF11 that some thought could hit Earth in 2028. It didn’t take long for astronomers to rule out a potential collision, but the doomsday narrative proliferated in news reports, followed by blame for what was perceived to be a big mistake.


“It ended up being a bit of an embarrassment,” Binzel said. “It wasn’t that astronomers had made an error, but we didn’t have a good way of communicating uncertainty. So that became the motivation for proposing a simple system for categorizing any object for which we can’t immediately rule out that it will miss the Earth for centuries to come.”


Binzel presented the scale once again at a conference in Torino in 1999 attended by representatives from NASA and the European Space Agency. At that workshop, the system was finally adopted by the International Astronomical Union, a nongovernmental organization made up of professional astronomers that functions like a governing body for the astronomical community.


In addition to its use of colors and numbers corresponding to various risk levels, the scale also includes descriptions of the potential consequences, the likelihood that risk assessments may change, and what actions governments or members of the public should take.


A Level 6 threat in the orange zone, for instance, describes a likely close shave by “a large object posing a serious but still uncertain threat of a global catastrophe.”


Astronomers are advised to give this object “critical attention” in order to figure out conclusively if a collision will occur. “If the encounter is less than three decades away, governmental contingency planning may be warranted,” the scale says.


On the other hand, a Level 3 threat means: “Current calculations give a 1% or greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction,” according to the scale’s description. “Most likely, new telescopic observations will lead to re-assignment to Level 0. Attention by the public and public officials is merited if the encounter is less than a decade away.”


Unsurprisingly, then, Binzel correctly suspected when asteroid 2024 YR4 was considered a 3 on the scale that it would eventually be downgraded.


But during that brief time, 2024 YR4 did hit some uncomfortable milestones: It was the only known asteroid with a classification above Level 1, and it set records for reaching the highest impact probability and for spending the longest time with a probability greater than 1%, according to the European Space Agency.


The only time an asteroid of similar or larger size has been classified higher on the Torino scale was in 2004, when the asteroid Apophis was briefly ranked as a Level 4, with an estimated 2.7% chance of hitting Earth.


To witness the scale function in real time has been gratifying, Binzel said, though he is happy to be discreet about his connection to it.


“At the end of the day, if the Torino scale is helpful, there’s enormous satisfaction in that. It really makes my day,” he said. “But it is nice to hide my name behind the location where the scale was adopted. That helps keep my phone from ringing too much.”

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