Vithanage Erandi Kawshalya Madhushani Jade Times Staff
V.E.K. Madhushani is a Jadetimes news reporter covering Africa.
Critics Warn of Democratic Backsliding Under Saied’s Rule
Tunisia’s President Kais Saied is set to run for re-election in a vote that he is almost certain to win, with the electoral process widely criticized for its lack of competition and transparency. Once seen as a beacon of hope after the Arab Spring, Tunisia has witnessed a steady erosion of democratic progress under Saied’s rule, marked by his consolidation of power and suppression of political opposition.
Limited Election Choices
More than a dozen candidates sought to challenge President Saied, but only two names were approved to appear on the ballot. One of them, Ayachi Zammel, was sentenced to 12 years in prison just five days before the election for allegedly falsifying documents related to his candidacy. Despite the charges, Zammel’s name remains on the ballot, while the other candidate, former lawmaker Zouhair Maghzaoui, had initially supported Saied's power grab in 2021 before becoming a critic.
Tunisia's largest opposition party, Ennahda, has raised alarms about a wave of arrests targeting its senior members, as authorities have reportedly excluded other prospective candidates through prosecution and imprisonment.
Erosion of Democratic Freedoms
Saied, who came to power in 2019 with over 70% of the vote, initially promised a "new Tunisia" with a rejuvenated economy and less corruption. However, in 2021, he dissolved parliament and assumed all executive powers in what many describe as a "self-coup." Saied has justified his actions as necessary to overcome political gridlock and economic challenges, but critics argue he has effectively returned Tunisia to autocracy.
Under Saied’s leadership, Tunisia has fallen sharply on the Economist Intelligence Unit’s democracy index, dropping from 53rd to 82nd. Public dissatisfaction has grown, with unemployment at 16% and the struggling economy forcing many young Tunisians to emigrate.
Anti-Migrant Rhetoric and International Concerns
Saied has also taken a populist approach, blaming migrants, particularly those from sub-Saharan Africa, for Tunisia’s economic troubles. His rhetoric has led to a spike in racist attacks and further isolated him from parts of the population. Meanwhile, Tunisia remains a key departure point for migrants seeking to reach Europe. In response to the migration crisis, the European Union struck a $118 million deal with Tunisia to combat smuggling and strengthen border security.
Widespread Apathy Ahead of Election
The upcoming election is largely viewed as a referendum on Saied’s leadership, with no real competition or public debate. Last year’s parliamentary election saw a dismal 11% voter turnout, and experts predict similarly low participation this time. The official results are expected within three days of the election, but the outcome is considered a foregone conclusion.
Saied’s efforts to consolidate power and the exclusion of viable political opponents have cast a shadow over Tunisia’s democratic aspirations, as the country faces increasing economic hardship and political unrest.
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